Thi truong ngoai hoi (Forex) luon bien dong khong ngung, chiu tac dong tu nhieu yeu to kinh te – chinh tri toan cau. Mot trong nhung chi so quan trong duoc gioi dau tu va cac nha phan tich ky thuat quan tam nhat chinh la Dollar Index (chi so USD). Vay Dollar Index la gi, co vai tro ra sao va anh huong the nao den thi truong Forex? Cung Mbroker tim hieu chi tiet ngay duoi day de hieu ro hon ve “kim chi nam” cua suc manh dong do la My nay.

Dollar Index la gi?

Dollar Index (ky hieu: DXY) la chi so do luong gia tri cua dong do la My (USD) so voi mot ro cac dong tien chu chot khac, bao gom EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK va CHF. Duoc ra doi tu nam 1973 boi Cuc Du tru Lien bang My (FED), chi so nay phan anh suc manh tuong doi cua USD trong nen kinh te toan cau.
Khi chi so DXY tang, dieu do co nghia dong do la dang manh len so voi cac dong tien khac. Nguoc lai, neu DXY giam, USD dang suy yeu. Day chinh la thuoc do quan trong giup nha giao dich du doan xu huong bien dong cua tien te va xac dinh chien luoc phu hop trong Forex.
Tiep theo, hay cung Mbroker kham pha tai sao Dollar Index lai co suc anh huong manh me den thi truong Forex toan cau nhu vay.

Anh huong cua Dollar Index den thi truong Forex

Dollar Index co moi quan he chat che voi thi truong ngoai hoi, dac biet la cac cap tien co chua USD nhu EUR/USD, GBP/USD hay USD/JPY. Khi DXY tang manh, dong do la My thuong co xu huong tang gia, khien cac cap tien te co USD dung sau giam. Nguoc lai, neu DXY giam, USD yeu di va cac cap tien nay thuong co chieu huong tang.
Doi voi nha dau tu, viec theo doi DXY giup ho:

• Xac dinh xu huong chinh cua dong USD.


• Du doan bien dong gia cua cac cap tien chinh.


• Dua ra quyet dinh mua hoac ban hop ly, giam thieu rui ro giao dich.

Ngoai ra, Dollar Index con anh huong den gia vang, dau mo va hang hoa. Khi DXY tang, vang va hang hoa thuong giam gia do USD manh khien chung tro nen dat hon voi nha dau tu nuoc ngoai.
Tu day, co the thay Dollar Index la cong cu khong the thieu trong qua trinh phan tich xu huong thi truong Forex. De hieu sau hon ve cac chi bao dong luong giup nhan biet xu huong nay, ban co the tham khao them bai viet huu ich cua Mbroker tai day: Chi bao ROC – Toc do thay doi gia trong Forex

Moi lien he giua Dollar Index va chinh sach tien te

Chinh sach tien te cua FED co tac dong manh den Dollar Index. Khi FED tang lai suat, dong tien quoc te co xu huong chay vao My de tim kiem loi nhuan cao hon, khien USD manh len va DXY tang. Nguoc lai, khi FED cat giam lai suat hoac noi long chinh sach, USD yeu di va DXY giam.
Cac yeu to khac nhu lam phat, tinh hinh kinh te toan cau, hoac bien dong dia chinh tri cung co the khien DXY dao dong manh. Do do, cac trader can thuong xuyen theo doi tin tuc kinh te vi mo, bien ban hop FOMC va du lieu viec lam My (Non-farm Payrolls) de dua ra du bao chinh xac hon.
Tiep noi phan nay, chung ta se di sau vao vai tro cua Dollar Index trong viec xac dinh xu huong dai han cua thi truong Forex.

Vai tro cua Dollar Index trong viec xac dinh xu huong Forex

Dollar Index khong chi giup danh gia suc manh cua USD ma con la cong cu xac dinh xu huong chung cua thi truong tien te. Khi DXY duy tri xu huong tang dai han, dieu nay thuong phan anh su on dinh va suc manh cua nen kinh te My, keo theo su dieu chinh cua nhieu cap tien te khac.
Cac nha giao dich chuyen nghiep thuong ket hop Dollar Index cung cac chi bao ky thuat nhu Momentum Indicator hoac Moving Average de xac nhan xu huong. Chang han, neu DXY va Momentum Indicator cung cho tin hieu tang, day co the la dau hieu cho thay USD se tiep tuc manh trong thoi gian toi.
Ban co the tim hieu sau hon ve chi bao Momentum Indicator va cach ung dung vao phan tich xu huong Forex qua bai viet cua Mbroker tai: Giai thich chi bao Momentum Indicator trong giao dich Forex

Sau khi da hieu vai tro cua Dollar Index trong nhan dien xu huong, hay cung tim hieu vi sao viec theo doi DXY la yeu to cot loi cho moi chien luoc giao dich.

Tai sao trader nen theo doi Dollar Index thuong xuyen?

Dollar Index khong chi giup trader danh gia suc manh cua USD ma con cung cap cai nhin tong the ve tam ly thi truong toan cau. Mot so ly do khien DXY tro thanh chi so “phai theo doi” gom:

• DXY la chi bao som: Thuong phan anh xu huong USD truoc khi no the hien ro o cac cap tien chinh.


• Giup xac dinh diem vao lenh va thoat lenh chinh xac hon, nho moi tuong quan chat che voi cac cap tien te.


• Ho tro quan ly rui ro hieu qua, dac biet trong boi canh bien dong manh.

Cac nha dau tu thanh cong luon xem Dollar Index la cong cu “soi duong”, ket hop cung cac chi bao ky thuat khac de toi uu hoa chien luoc giao dich. Va de hieu ro hon cach tan dung cac chi so nhu DXY, Momentum hay ROC trong thuc chien, dung quen theo doi them cac bai viet chuyen sau tai Mbroker, noi chia se kien thuc Forex toan dien va cap nhat nhat cho cong dong trader Viet.
Qua bai viet nay, Mbroker da giup ban hieu ro Dollar Index la gi, cach no anh huong den thi truong Forex va ly do vi sao chi so nay dong vai tro quan trong trong viec phan tich xu huong tien te.
Viec nam bat bien dong cua DXY khong chi giup trader xac dinh chien luoc hieu qua ma con ho tro quan ly rui ro tot hon trong tung quyet dinh giao dich. Hay tiep tuc theo doi Mbroker de cap nhat them nhieu bai viet phan tich chuyen sau, kien thuc chuyen mon va chien luoc giao dich toi uu trong thi truong Forex.
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